In several posts in July, including one titled, “Mobile OSs/Platforms: will Apple win in India?”, I shared data indicating that Android is gaining market share. I went on to predict that in India, Android will have 50% market share within 3 years, and that Apple will be relegated to 5th position behind Blackberry. I also predicted that this would mark, but a milestone for Android as it took global leadership. Well, recent data from IDC and Gartner suggests that this might happen sooner than 2013.
- IDC just announced, that in its opinion, Android will become the 2nd most popular mobile platform by 2013. That prediction will probably be true by next year since Gartner just announced that in Q2 2010, Android is a close #3. Android now has 17.2% market share vs. 1.8% a year ago; its ahead of Apple, nipping at RIM’s heels and has half of Nokia’s market share.
- In the US, Android is now the #1 platform ahead of RIM with 34 % market share while iOS has 22% share.
Its still early days in this platform war. Too early for Android to declare victory. And too early to rule Microsoft out. Microsoft’s secret weapon is its developer ecosystem which it put to good use against Netscape, Linux, and is now trying to align behind Windows 7 Mobile. Who knows if the developers will come? But if they do, the legend of the rising phoenix may still hold true. What do you think?